TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks receiving yardage performance for both teams in a college football matchup. Outcomes are determined by whether each team surpasses specific yardage thresholds during the game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by each team during the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Receiving yards from both regular time and the first or second overtime periods count toward each team's total, but successful 2-point conversions—including those in overtime—do not contribute to the yardage totals. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a particular receiving yardage outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than available at a sportsbook. It's a different way to assess probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges for the Ohio St vs Texas game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of the actual total receiving yards falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The closer we get to the game, the more responsive the market is likely to be to breaking news and late-developing insights.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage total for both teams in the Ohio St vs Texas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game, as reported by a trusted source, will determine the winning contract(s). Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct receiving yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. The outcome is determined by the official game statistics, not by any subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence this market before the game is played. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions. A shift in the point spread for the game itself could also impact trading activity. News regarding the opposing defenses – for example, a key cornerback being ruled out – could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or play-calling tendencies could cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust prices.