TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points, determining whether the outcome meets or exceeds that benchmark.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined in the first half of the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. For each market, if the collective points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows participants to directly express their forecasts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final first-half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that total occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' side, predicting a higher total, or the 'sell' side, predicting a lower total. The market aggregates these individual predictions into a collective forecast, providing a unique perspective on the potential outcome of the game. The current price represents the market's best estimate of the first-half total.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final official first-half total score from the Ohio State versus Texas football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Ohio State or Texas would likely cause price fluctuations, as would any major changes in weather forecasts for the game location. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, may drive changes in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in the market before Sep 13, 2026.