TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming college football matchup. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match the specified conditions for resolution. The events consider various possible scenarios, including wins by either team or a tied first half, combined with different final outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. For any market to resolve as Yes, both the specified first-half result and the specified full-game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to No. Postponements are permitted if the game begins within 48 hours of the original start time, in which case the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual results. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and more people participate, the odds in this market can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds. It's common to see prediction markets as a more accurate reflection of true probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Ohio State vs Texas game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Ohio State vs Texas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual first half and fulltime result of the game, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on the winning outcome, ensuring all traders receive their payouts according to the final result. This process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ohio State or Texas teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also move the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by media coverage or analyst predictions, can influence trading activity and therefore the odds. Any late-breaking news or developments related to the game are likely to be reflected in the prices within this market.