TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ohio State will win their game against Indiana by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 60.0% probability to Ohio State winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the outcome of the Ohio St. vs Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. Participants should closely watch the game itself on October 17, 2026, as the final score will directly determine whether Ohio State exceeds the necessary point differential to resolve the market to “Yes.”
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Ohio St. vs Indiana college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. For markets where Ohio St. must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Ohio St. wins by more points than the stated threshold. For markets where Indiana must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Indiana wins by more points than the stated threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a common point of comparison for those new to prediction markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Ohio State vs Indiana spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will rise. Conversely, if traders believe a spread is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Ohio State versus Indiana football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The final point spread will be compared to the contract prices on Kalshi to determine payouts to contract holders. Traders will be able to view the official resolution details on the Kalshi event page following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries on either the Ohio State or Indiana teams would likely cause shifts in the spread. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi by informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price adjustments. Public perception and media coverage surrounding the game can also contribute to market fluctuations.