TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 10:27 PM EST
Kalshi
Caracas and Independiente Santa Fe will have several regulation time goal total benchmarks analyzed.
If over 0.5 goals are scored in the O´Higgins vs Boca Juniors professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 1.5 goals are scored in the O´Higgins vs Boca Juniors professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 2.5 goals are scored in the O´Higgins vs Boca Juniors professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 3.5 goals are scored in the O´Higgins vs Boca Juniors professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 4.5 goals are scored in the O´Higgins vs Boca Juniors professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 5.5 goals are scored in the O´Higgins vs Boca Juniors professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical data and adjusted odds for sharp players, prediction markets rely purely on aggregated trader bets. This difference often results in varying implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Traders should consider both sources but recognize that Kalshi prices are driven by community participation and real-time trading dynamics rather than expert adjustments.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of goals scored during regulation time will determine whether the over or under target is met, closing the market definitively.
Key factors include player injuries, weather forecasts, and tactical changes by coaches before the match. High-profile performances or controversial referee decisions during gameplay could also shift expectations. Additionally, any last-minute lineup announcements or strategic shifts may cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Media narratives and pre-game polls might influence short-term price movements, while broader league trends could impact long-term positioning as Jul 31, 2026 approaches.