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405,232

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OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient - More Markets

Volume:
$69,013

Lorient wins by over 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Lorient wins by over 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 22, 3:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lorient wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,457
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
No
kalshi

Nice wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,019
N/A
N/A
$759
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorient wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,430
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
kalshi

Nice wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,065
N/A
N/A
$530
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,373
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,232
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,793
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,574
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,070
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers the Ligue 1 match between OGC Nice (home) and FC Lorient (away) scheduled for February 22, 2026. Markets span total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), both teams to score, and margin-of-victory outcomes for each team.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets measure margin-of-victory (team-specific win thresholds), while Polymarket markets measure combined total goals and mutual scoring. These are orthogonal outcome dimensions resolved from the same final scoreline but representing different betting propositions.Hero tip: Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets will move together. A 4-1 Nice win resolves Yes on Kalshi (Nice >2.5) and Over on Polymarket (O/U 3.5), but they are independent events. Track the final scoreline and calculate both margin and total separately. Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation (50-50 split); Kalshi does not specify—contact Kalshi support before Feb 22 to confirm their cancellation protocol.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets: Nice wins by >1.5 goals (Yes/No), Nice wins by >2.5 goals (Yes/No), Lorient wins by >1.5 goals (Yes/No), Lorient wins by >2.5 goals (Yes/No). Each resolves Yes only if the specified team wins by the specified margin. Key Quote: 'If Nice wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Lorient at Nice professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Five markets: O/U 1.5 (Over if combined >=2 goals), O/U 2.5 (Over if combined >=3), O/U 3.5 (Over if combined >=4), O/U 4.5 (Over if combined >=5), and Both Teams to Score (Yes if each team scores >=1). All reference ligue1.com as official source and specify 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if OGC Nice and FC Lorient combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.