TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient - More Markets
Volume:
$69,013
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Ligue 1 match between OGC Nice (home) and FC Lorient (away) scheduled for February 22, 2026. Markets span total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), both teams to score, and margin-of-victory outcomes for each team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets measure margin-of-victory (team-specific win thresholds), while Polymarket markets measure combined total goals and mutual scoring. These are orthogonal outcome dimensions resolved from the same final scoreline but representing different betting propositions.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets will move together. A 4-1 Nice win resolves Yes on Kalshi (Nice >2.5) and Over on Polymarket (O/U 3.5), but they are independent events. Track the final scoreline and calculate both margin and total separately. Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation (50-50 split); Kalshi does not specify—contact Kalshi support before Feb 22 to confirm their cancellation protocol.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets: Nice wins by >1.5 goals (Yes/No), Nice wins by >2.5 goals (Yes/No), Lorient wins by >1.5 goals (Yes/No), Lorient wins by >2.5 goals (Yes/No). Each resolves Yes only if the specified team wins by the specified margin. Key Quote: 'If Nice wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Lorient at Nice professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Five markets: O/U 1.5 (Over if combined >=2 goals), O/U 2.5 (Over if combined >=3), O/U 3.5 (Over if combined >=4), O/U 4.5 (Over if combined >=5), and Both Teams to Score (Yes if each team scores >=1). All reference ligue1.com as official source and specify 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if OGC Nice and FC Lorient combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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