TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
OG and Team Yandex compete in Map 1 of their Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 7, 2026. The winner of this opening map establishes control early in the series.
Resolution depends on the outcome of Map 1 in the scheduled Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 match between OG and Team Yandex on July 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders freely price outcomes based on their genuine beliefs. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants willing to stake real money on their forecasts, which can reveal insights that differ from conventional betting lines, especially in niche esports matchups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and pending orders, so it updates in real time as new information emerges or trader conviction shifts. Liquidity and trading volume influence how tightly prices cluster around fair value, and wider spreads may appear during low-activity periods.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect what actually occurred during the match on Map 1, determined by standard esports competition rules and official match records. Once the event concludes and the result is documented, the market will settle accordingly, and traders' positions will be finalized based on the verified outcome.
Several factors may shift odds before resolution. Team roster changes, player injuries, or recent performance trends in competitive play can alter expectations significantly. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and community sentiment on social media often influence trader positioning. Additionally, odds from other esports betting venues and expert predictions may prompt repricing as new information surfaces. Closer to the event date, warm-up matches or official team statements could trigger notable market movement.