TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
60-70M
- Polymarket
60-70M - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 6, 2026
Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Intro
This market tracks the view count that MrBeast's next YouTube video will accumulate during its first week after posting. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that the video will receive between 60 and 70 million views in week 1—stands at 99.6%, while the outcome for 80 to 90 million views holds 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the view counter on MrBeast's YouTube channel for the relevant video. Watch for MrBeast to upload his next full-length video, as the 7-day view window begins immediately upon posting, with the market's deadline set for June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations based on MrBeast's historical performance, audience engagement trends, and content type. These market-derived probabilities often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on older viewership data or broader YouTube trends. Prediction markets incorporate real-time information and financial incentives, making them dynamic indicators. Comparing Polymarket odds to independent analyst estimates and historical MrBeast video performance can reveal whether traders are pricing in optimism or caution relative to expert consensus.
The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026, marking the end of the first week following the release of MrBeast's next video. Resolution is determined by the official view count recorded on YouTube at that time for the specified video. The outcome will be confirmed against authoritative YouTube data to establish whether the video met or exceeded the threshold embedded in the contract terms.
Key catalysts include the announcement and release date of MrBeast's next video, the content category and production scale, trending topics or collaborations featured, social media buzz and influencer amplification, and real-time view velocity during the first 24 to 48 hours post-release. Algorithm performance on YouTube's homepage and recommendations, competitive content releases, and broader platform engagement trends will also influence week-one viewership. Early view metrics and subscriber engagement patterns serve as leading indicators that traders monitor closely.
