TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
25–30M
- Polymarket
25–30M - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 28, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 28, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders, often revealing different expectations than traditional analyst forecasts. In this market, traders are pricing the likelihood of day-one viewership hitting the 50-million threshold. Comparing these odds to public estimates from YouTube analysts or entertainment media can highlight where the crowd sees upside or downside risk relative to expert commentary. Divergence between the two often signals either undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once sufficient time has passed for day-one view counts to be finalized and verified. The outcome is determined by whether the video's view count on its first full day reaches or exceeds 50 million, confirmed against credible public reporting from YouTube or similar verifiable sources. Traders holding the winning side receive their payout once the result is official.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly. An official announcement of the video's release date or topic would provide concrete timing, affecting expectations around promotion and audience readiness. Changes to YouTube's algorithm or trending mechanics could alter organic reach potential. MrBeast's recent upload performance, subscriber growth, and any major collaborations announced beforehand would all influence trader confidence. Additionally, broader platform trends or competing viral content launching simultaneously could impact day-one viewership trajectories.
