TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
15–17.5M
- Polymarket
15–17.5M - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 27, 2026
Closed: Sep 27, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Currently, the implied probability from this market suggests a different expectation than many publicly available analyst predictions regarding the viewership of the next MrBeast Gaming video. While analysts often rely on historical data and channel growth, this market incorporates a wider range of information, including potential video content, trending topics, and overall audience engagement. Discrepancies can highlight unique insights or potential blind spots in either approach, offering a more nuanced understanding of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final number of views. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. This allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the potential viewership of the upcoming MrBeast Gaming video.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count for the next MrBeast Gaming video on its first day is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available view count reported by YouTube Analytics. The exact time of resolution will depend on when YouTube publishes the official data, but it will occur as soon as possible after Sep 27, 2026. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Announcements regarding the video’s content, collaborations with other creators, or the timing of its release could all impact expectations. Unexpected trending topics or viral challenges that align with the video’s theme could also drive increased viewership. Furthermore, any news related to MrBeast Gaming’s channel, such as changes in upload frequency or community engagement, could influence trading activity. Shifts in broader YouTube viewership trends or algorithm changes could also play a role in how this market evolves leading up to Sep 27, 2026.
