TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
12–14M
- Polymarket
12–14M - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 16, 2026
Closed: Aug 16, 6:14 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible view ranges for the next MrBeast gaming video on day one. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants, with probability implied by the price of each contract. Liquidity and trader sentiment—driven by news, past video performance, and audience rumors—directly influence how this market is priced day to day.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the view count for the new MrBeast gaming video on its first full day of release is verifiable from credible public sources. The exact numbers will be checked against YouTube’s official analytics and widely reported metrics, ensuring an objective resolution that matches what audiences actually see on the platform.
Between now and resolution, any signal affecting expected audience turnout could shift this market. Key catalysts include MrBeast’s own social-media teasers, surprise collaborations announced close to release, YouTube algorithm updates that boost or limit reach, and even competing entertainment events that might pull viewers away. Sudden shifts in viewer sentiment—driven by early reviews or platform-wide trends—could also cause rapid price changes as traders adjust expectations.
