TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
10–12M
- Polymarket
10–12M - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 25, 2026
Closed: Jun 20, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a set of outcome contracts representing different view-count ranges or thresholds for MrBeast's next gaming video on its first day. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about where day-one views will land, with prices reflecting the implied probability of each bracket. The market price of each outcome adjusts continuously based on supply and demand. Polymarket's automated market maker mechanism ensures liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time prices throughout the event window.
The market resolves on Jun 21, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official view count recorded on the MrBeast gaming video channel within the first 24 hours of its publication. The outcome is based on YouTube's publicly displayed view counter at the resolution timestamp. Once the market closes, the actual day-one view total is verified and matched against the predefined outcome brackets or thresholds established at market creation. Whichever outcome bracket contains the final view count determines which contracts settle in the money.
Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Announcement of the gaming video's topic, release date, or collaborators would provide concrete information traders use to adjust probabilities. MrBeast's recent video performance and trending topics in gaming could influence expectations. Platform algorithm changes or promotional campaigns would affect visibility and early viewership. Competing releases or major news events on the same day could reduce or boost traffic. Real-time view velocity during the first hours post-launch often triggers rapid repricing as traders observe actual performance versus pre-release expectations, making early momentum a key signal.
