TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 2:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts. While entertainment analysts may rely on historical performance, channel growth trends, and content type, this market prices in real-time sentiment from thousands of participants with financial stakes in accuracy. Traders continuously update their positions based on emerging information—such as video topic, release timing, or promotional activity—making market odds more dynamic than static analyst predictions. The difference reveals where the crowd sees upside or downside relative to conventional estimates.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the seven-day view count for MrBeast's next video is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the total number of views accumulated during the first week following the video's release, measured against the predefined brackets available for trading. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed and view data is confirmed through reliable sources. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome bracket receive their winnings upon settlement.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Jul 31, 2026. Announcement of the video's topic, release date, or promotional strategy would influence trader expectations about reach and engagement. MrBeast's recent upload performance, subscriber growth, and algorithm trends also matter—strong recent videos or channel milestones could raise view projections. Broader platform changes, such as YouTube algorithm shifts or policy updates affecting video distribution, could impact performance. Additionally, any public statements about the video's scale or ambition, collaborations, or production details would likely trigger repricing as traders reassess the probability of hitting specific view thresholds.