TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Entertainment
# of views of MrBeast video week 1?
polymarket

# of views of MrBeast video week 1?

Volume:
$191,974

<40M

 - Polymarket

<40M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 2:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<40M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$89,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

40-50M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-60M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-70M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90M+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the MrBeast video week 1 views market dashboard displays real-time odds and price history for how many views MrBeast's next video will accumulate during its first week. The interface shows the current probability assigned to each outcome bracket, historical price movements, and trading activity. You can monitor shifts in trader sentiment as the video release approaches and track cumulative volume of $191,974 across all outcome contracts. This live data helps you gauge market conviction about whether the video will hit specific view thresholds within the seven-day window.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts. While entertainment analysts may rely on historical performance, channel growth trends, and content type, this market prices in real-time sentiment from thousands of participants with financial stakes in accuracy. Traders continuously update their positions based on emerging information—such as video topic, release timing, or promotional activity—making market odds more dynamic than static analyst predictions. The difference reveals where the crowd sees upside or downside relative to conventional estimates.

This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the seven-day view count for MrBeast's next video is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the total number of views accumulated during the first week following the video's release, measured against the predefined brackets available for trading. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed and view data is confirmed through reliable sources. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome bracket receive their winnings upon settlement.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Jul 31, 2026. Announcement of the video's topic, release date, or promotional strategy would influence trader expectations about reach and engagement. MrBeast's recent upload performance, subscriber growth, and algorithm trends also matter—strong recent videos or channel milestones could raise view projections. Broader platform changes, such as YouTube algorithm shifts or policy updates affecting video distribution, could impact performance. Additionally, any public statements about the video's scale or ambition, collaborations, or production details would likely trigger repricing as traders reassess the probability of hitting specific view thresholds.