TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
# of views of MrBeast video week 1?
polymarket

# of views of MrBeast video week 1?

Volume:
$134,880

50-60M

 - Polymarket

50-60M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

50-60M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

60-70M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-50M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90M+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader beliefs about MrBeast's week-one viewership, often incorporating real-time YouTube metrics and social media momentum. Traditional analyst forecasts from entertainment media outlets tend to rely on historical averages and channel growth trends. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news—such as viral moments or platform algorithm changes—whereas analyst estimates may lag. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or conservative outcomes than media consensus.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is structured as outcome brackets representing different view-count ranges. Each bracket trades as a separate contract with its own price, reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. Prices move continuously as new information arrives—including YouTube analytics, social engagement metrics, and MrBeast's promotional activity. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates market liquidity and confidence; tighter spreads suggest high conviction, while wider spreads reflect uncertainty about the final week-one view total.

The market resolves on Jun 14, 2026, marking the end of the first full week following the video's release. Resolution is determined by the official view count recorded on YouTube at that time. The outcome is objective and verifiable, eliminating ambiguity about which bracket wins. Traders should monitor the video's upload timestamp carefully to ensure they understand when the seven-day window begins and ends, as this directly affects which final view count applies.

Major catalysts include MrBeast's promotional strategy—collaborations, social media teasers, and celebrity involvement typically drive early viewership spikes. YouTube algorithm placement and trending status significantly amplify reach. Real-world events or controversies can either boost curiosity or suppress engagement. Competitor video releases during the same week may fragment audience attention. Platform changes, such as algorithm tweaks or recommendation shifts, can alter trajectory. Early view velocity in the first 24–48 hours often signals final week-one performance, making that period particularly important for market repricing.