TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
45-46M
- Polymarket
45-46M - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 16, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 15, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 72 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 72 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "50 YouTube Legends Fight For $1,000,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__fmDj0ZJ1Q. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 72 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 72 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "50 YouTube Legends Fight For $1,000,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__fmDj0ZJ1Q. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than single-expert opinion. Traders in this market are betting on actual view counts, which creates pressure to price in all available data—from MrBeast's historical performance to current YouTube trends and audience engagement patterns. When analyst predictions conflict with market odds, the difference typically signals either new information the crowd has priced in or skepticism about the analyst's methodology.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares of yes and no outcomes, with the price reflecting the collective probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong confidence in a specific view range. As traders place bets based on their own research and expectations, the price continuously adjusts, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final view count recorded for the MrBeast video on day three, measured from its official release timestamp. Once the three-day window closes and view data is publicly available, the market will settle based on which outcome bracket the actual view count falls into.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. A surprise announcement about the video's topic or guest could drive early interest and change day-three view projections. YouTube algorithm changes, trending topics, or competing viral content on release day would also influence viewership. MrBeast's recent upload performance, subscriber growth, and any promotional activity across social media platforms all serve as real-time signals traders monitor. Breaking news or platform outages near the three-day mark could create last-minute volatility.
