TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
39–41M
- Polymarket
39–41M - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 15, 2026
Closed: Jun 15, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "50 YouTube Legends Fight For $1,000,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__fmDj0ZJ1Q. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "50 YouTube Legends Fight For $1,000,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__fmDj0ZJ1Q. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than point estimates. While entertainment analysts might project view counts based on historical MrBeast performance and audience trends, traders in this market are betting their capital on actual outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more conservative pricing. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than expert opinion, and can highlight blind spots in conventional analysis.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent different view-count ranges or outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all participants: higher prices indicate stronger confidence in that outcome, while lower prices suggest skepticism. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, and the market price updates continuously to reflect the latest consensus.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, at which point the final view count for the MrBeast video on day 2 will be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual number of views recorded during the specified 24-hour window, confirmed once the data is publicly available and auditable. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the deadline, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could shift odds in this market: early view-count reports or trending status on YouTube, social media engagement and shares, unexpected controversies or viral moments, competitor activity, and MrBeast's promotional efforts. Real-time view milestones, platform algorithm changes, and audience sentiment tracked through comments and reactions can all influence trader expectations. Major news or celebrity mentions could also drive sudden volume spikes and price movements as new information reaches the market.
