TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 02d:23h:16m
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This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for MrBeast Gaming video views. Unlike traditional polls or expert opinions, this market represents a collective prediction from a diverse group of traders. These traders weigh various factors – MrBeast’s past performance, the video’s topic, and current trends – to express their beliefs about the likely outcome. While analysts may provide point estimates, this market provides a probability distribution of potential view counts, offering a more nuanced perspective. It’s a fascinating way to see the wisdom of the crowd in action.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different potential view counts. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that particular outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time prediction. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of participants and the quality of information available. The current price movements indicate how traders are interpreting factors that could influence the video’s viewership.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of views for the MrBeast Gaming video within its first week of release is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact view count will be sourced from the official YouTube analytics for the video. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the final view count, based on the share prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the video’s performance in the days leading up to the resolution date to understand the potential outcomes.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Early viewership numbers after the video’s release will be a key indicator, as will any major media coverage or social media buzz surrounding the content. A collaboration with another popular creator or a particularly engaging video topic could also drive up expectations. Conversely, negative reactions or controversies could dampen enthusiasm and lower predicted view counts. Monitoring MrBeast’s social media channels and relevant news sources will provide valuable insights into potential catalysts that could impact the market’s price.