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24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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404,028

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2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the ODI Series West Indies vs New Zealand?

Volume:
$3,570,855

New Zealand

 - Kalshi

New Zealand - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 8:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,495,315
N/A
N/A
$870,661
Settled
Yes
kalshi

West Indies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,899,384
N/A
N/A
$930,516
Settled
No
polymarket

ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the men's ODI cricket match between West Indies and New Zealand scheduled for July 16, 2026. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a 10.0% probability for the leading outcome, with resolution determined by the official final result published on ESPNcricinfo. Watch for the match result on July 16, 2026, which will trigger settlement across both platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it states the market resolves Yes if West Indies wins AND Yes if New Zealand wins, making it impossible to determine a single resolution outcome. Polymarket has coherent, unambiguous resolution logic.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as written is unresolvable because both possible outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether this represents two separate markets, a drafting error, or a non-standard resolution mechanism. Avoid trading until resolved.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the actual match winner (West Indies or New Zealand) per ESPNcricinfo official statistics. Ties without Super Over tiebreaks resolve 50-50. Permanent cancellations resolve 50-50. Key quote: 'the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used...the market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Contains logical contradiction: states market resolves Yes if West Indies wins AND Yes if New Zealand wins, which is mutually exclusive and unresolvable. Key quote: 'If West Indies wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If New Zealand wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot occur simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between West Indies and New Zealand scheduled for July 16 2026 in ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The West Indies vs New Zealand ODI match scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT will determine the resolution of these markets. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that team wins the match. If the match ends without an official winner—including scenarios where it results in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation—all markets resolve to $0.50. Similarly, if a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. However, if such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, the markets resolve based on that declared result. If play commences but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

The West Indies vs New Zealand ODI series dashboard aggregates prediction market prices across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds on the tournament outcome. Both venues allow traders to buy and sell shares based on their conviction about which team will prevail in the series. You can track how sentiment shifts as matches unfold, compare pricing across platforms, and see total trading volume to gauge market confidence. This unified view helps you spot pricing inefficiencies and understand where the broader prediction market consensus lies as the event progresses.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on a fundamentally different model than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting odds and taking the other side of your bet, prediction markets are peer-to-peer exchanges where traders themselves determine prices through supply and demand. This often results in tighter spreads and more efficient pricing, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbooks build in margins and may adjust odds more slowly; prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news, team injuries, or shifting public opinion. Over time, prediction market prices tend to converge toward actual outcomes, making them valuable benchmarks for comparing against fixed sportsbook lines.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates pricing variations. Polymarket and Kalshi may have different user bases with distinct information sets or risk appetites, causing one venue to price the outcome higher or lower than the other. Market depth also varies—a platform with deeper liquidity may show tighter bid-ask spreads and faster price discovery. Additionally, platform-specific rules around market hours, settlement timelines, or dispute resolution can influence how traders value the same outcome. Comparing prices across venues is a smart way to identify arbitrage opportunities or confirm which platform's consensus feels most reliable.

Key player injuries, roster announcements, or last-minute team changes can shift odds significantly, as can recent form and head-to-head momentum leading into the series. Weather conditions at the venue, pitch reports, and toss outcomes during individual matches will likely trigger intraday volatility. Major upsets or dominant performances in early matches often reprrice the entire series outlook. Off-field news—such as coaching changes, player controversies, or travel disruptions—can also influence trader sentiment. As the series progresses, each result narrows the possible outcomes, typically tightening the spread between the two teams' implied probabilities. Monitoring these catalysts helps you anticipate market moves before they're fully priced in.