TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between OC Safi and Raja Club Athletic, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "OC Safi" if OC Safi are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Raja Club Athletic" if Raja Club Athletic are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between OC Safi and Raja Club Athletic, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "OC Safi" if OC Safi are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Raja Club Athletic" if Raja Club Athletic are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money skin in the game. Traders betting on the first goal scorer outcome here are motivated purely by accuracy, not by the house edge. This can result in sharper, more efficient pricing on prediction markets, though sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for comparing implied probabilities across venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the volume and direction of trades. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome, and the price of those shares reflects the collective belief about which team will score first. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that balances supply and demand in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match between OC Safi and Raja Club Athletic concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed through reliable reporting, the market will settle automatically, paying out to traders who correctly predicted the first scorer.
Team news, injury updates, and lineup announcements can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking capability and defensive vulnerability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage are also key factors that influence how traders price the first goal outcome. Closer to match day, weather conditions and official team sheets often trigger notable repricing. Any surprise roster changes or tactical shifts announced by either team could prompt rapid adjustments in this market's odds.