TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in a professional match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various winning margins for the Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for August 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome scenarios are assessed: Oaxaca winning by more than 2.5 goals, Oaxaca winning by more than 1.5 goals, Tepatitlan winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Tepatitlan winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each scenario resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment and can adjust more rapidly to new information. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads and prices, prediction markets price in continuous real time based on actual betting activity. This allows for potentially sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as game-day insights, player injuries, or weather developments emerge.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score difference, which will settle the spread and close trading activity on Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the match, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift this market. Media reports, pre-game polls, and momentum swings during early play may also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any news impacting team performance or odds from traditional sportsbooks could cause rapid adjustments in pricing on Kalshi before settlement on Aug 14, 2026.