TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 10:52 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Oaxaca and Dorados will see various thresholds of total goals scored across the full game duration.
If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Oaxaca vs Dorados professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Oaxaca vs Dorados professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Oaxaca vs Dorados professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Oaxaca vs Dorados professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Oaxaca vs Dorados professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Oaxaca vs Dorados professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment about the Oaxaca vs Dorados goals market. Sportsbook odds typically incorporate broader public betting patterns and professional handicapping models. Prediction markets often move more quickly in response to real-time data and sharp trader activity, while sportsbooks may smooth odds to balance action on both sides. The difference can create pricing inefficiencies that traders exploit. For this market, the gap between the two types of odds may widen or narrow depending on emerging game-specific news, weather updates, or lineup changes that affect scoring expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the match will determine whether the total goals meet the over/under threshold, and the market will settle based on that official result.
In the coming weeks, several factors could shift expectations for this market. Key starters or goalkeepers being ruled out due to injury or suspension would immediately impact scoring odds. Weather forecasts showing high wind speeds or heavy rain might suppress offensive output. Midweek friendly or cup matches involving either team could either boost or tire key players, altering the outlook. Finally, any significant betting volume spikes on Kalshi — especially if driven by sharp traders with insider-like analysis — may push the implied probability toward either outcome before Jul 31, 2026.