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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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404,028
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Oakland Roots SC plays against Spokane Velocity FC in a professional USL Cup soccer match on July 11, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Oakland Roots SC vs Spokane Velocity FC professional USL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome market resolves to Yes if its corresponding result occurs: Oakland Roots SC wins, Spokane Velocity FC wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money commitments. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent participants, which can sometimes reveal insights that traditional sportsbooks have not yet fully priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where public opinion on this matchup may differ from professional oddsmaking.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or recent form—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous price discovery process means the market price serves as a real-time estimate of the probability traders assign to each outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the final score and result of the Oakland Roots vs Spokane Velocity fixture. All positions will settle based on the confirmed match outcome at that time. Until resolution, traders can continue to buy and sell contracts as new developments and pre-match information influence their views.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before this market resolves. Team news—such as injuries to key players, roster changes, or managerial decisions—often triggers significant price moves. Recent form and head-to-head records may influence confidence in either side. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and any late-breaking tactical announcements can also sway the odds. Additionally, if either team's playoff positioning or league standing changes unexpectedly, traders may reassess their positions, creating trading opportunities.