TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks the performance of the teams during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events that occur in the second half.
The market evaluates two distinct outcomes for the first half of the Oakland Roots SC versus Sacramento Republic USL Championship soccer match scheduled for July 25, 2026. The first outcome resolves to Yes if Oakland Roots SC wins the first half by more than a 1.5 goal margin, while the second resolves to Yes if Sacramento Republic achieves the same margin of victory in the same half. Both markets exclusively consider goals scored during the first half and disregard any scoring occurrences in the second half entirely. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the markets will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, adjusting whenever new trades occur. This continuous pricing lets participants react instantly to news or shifts in expectation, unlike fixed sportsbook lines. As a result, the implied chances can move sharply in response to events such as lineup changes or early-game performance, capturing the collective wisdom of Kalshi participants.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match score at halftime, reflecting the point difference between the two teams. Once the first half ends and the score is reported by trusted sports news sources, the market will close and payouts will be processed accordingly on Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical decisions by coaches can all shift expectations for the first half and move this market. Updates from pre-match warmups, commentary from analysts, and even early goals or yellow cards once play starts may cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Any news that changes the perceived likelihood of a particular spread will be reflected in real-time price movements on Kalshi as participants react to new information.