TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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A's pro baseball wins this season?
kalshi

A's pro baseball wins this season?

Volume:
$119,564

70+ wins

 - Kalshi

70+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 11:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70+ wins

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,861
N/A
N/A
$13,904
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

65+ wins

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,139
N/A
N/A
$6,233
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

80+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,487
N/A
N/A
$7,417
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

75+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,157
N/A
N/A
$10,074
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

85+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,354
N/A
N/A
$4,876
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

90+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,979
N/A
N/A
$3,702
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

95+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
$513
1mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A professional baseball team will complete its 2026 regular season with a specific win total.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Oakland's total regular season wins in 2026. The team's final win total is measured against progressive thresholds, with only official wins counted; ties are excluded from the win total. Resolution occurs upon completion of the regular season.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates real-time information and a broader range of opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges during the season. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls, but the difference in opinion between this market and sportsbook odds can vary significantly depending on the specific win total being considered.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the A's win total. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in a particular outcome, effectively representing their collective forecast for the A's season. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the A's potential success.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the A's final regular season win total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official standings published by Major League Baseball. The market will determine whether the A's achieve the win totals represented by the various contracts available for trading. Traders who correctly predicted the A's final win total will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.

Numerous factors could influence this market between now and the end of the season. Key player injuries, significant trades, unexpected performance from starting pitchers or key hitters, and changes in team management could all shift trader sentiment. A hot streak or a prolonged losing streak for the A's will undoubtedly impact the market prices. Even broader factors like the overall strength of the American League West division and the performance of competing teams could play a role. Any news impacting the A’s competitive outlook has the potential to move this market.