TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball team will complete its 2026 regular season with a specific win total.
Resolution is determined by Oakland's total regular season wins in 2026. The team's final win total is measured against progressive thresholds, with only official wins counted; ties are excluded from the win total. Resolution occurs upon completion of the regular season.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the A's win total. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in a particular outcome, effectively representing their collective forecast for the A's season. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the A's potential success.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the A's final regular season win total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official standings published by Major League Baseball. The market will determine whether the A's achieve the win totals represented by the various contracts available for trading. Traders who correctly predicted the A's final win total will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Numerous factors could influence this market between now and the end of the season. Key player injuries, significant trades, unexpected performance from starting pitchers or key hitters, and changes in team management could all shift trader sentiment. A hot streak or a prolonged losing streak for the A's will undoubtedly impact the market prices. Even broader factors like the overall strength of the American League West division and the performance of competing teams could play a role. Any news impacting the A’s competitive outlook has the potential to move this market.