TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 6, 12:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between O Elvas Cad and Sao Roque in the Round 1 of the Taca de Portugal. The result determines which team progresses further in the tournament. The resolution depends solely on which team advances from this specific match.
The event resolves based on the advancement of either O Elvas Cad or Sao Roque in their Round 1 match of the Taca de Portugal. If O Elvas Cad progresses past Sao Roque, the 'O Elvas Cad advances' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Sao Roque progresses past O Elvas Cad, the 'Sao Roque advances' market resolves to Yes. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are used descriptively and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation between FIFA and the event organizer. The resolution is strictly contingent on the match result and the subsequent advancement of one of the teams.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $4,132, capturing nuanced expectations that sportsbooks may smooth or adjust for broader audiences. While sportsbooks incorporate their own risk models and margins, this market offers a direct view of crowd-sourced probability estimates. Traders can watch how shifts in $4,132 and price movements compare to sportsbook updates, often revealing early shifts in perceived likelihood before they appear in conventional odds.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will close based on that verified score or advancement status.
In the run-up to Sep 6, 2026, several key signals could shift this market. Performance metrics from recent matches involving both teams, player injuries or lineup changes, and tactical announcements from coaches may all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, referee appointments, and even early pre-game betting trends on sportsbooks can create ripples of activity. As $4,132 rises closer to the event, any last-minute news — such as star player availability or strategic reshuffles — is likely to produce noticeable price adjustments on Kalshi.