TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the NY Jets or TEN Titans specifically during the second quarter of their football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the NY Jets and TEN Titans exclusively during the second quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold that the winning team must exceed for a 'Yes' resolution. For markets where the Titans win by more than a specified margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points), the Titans must outscore the Jets by that amount in the second quarter alone. Conversely, for markets where the Jets win by more than a specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the Jets must outscore the Titans by that amount in the second quarter alone. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these markets, and all markets are independent, meaning each resolves based on its own threshold regardless of other outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into where the market perceives an edge, compared to what sportsbooks are offering.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, the Jets winning the 2nd quarter by more than 2.5 points. As more people buy contracts predicting that outcome, the price goes up, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the 2nd quarter spread in the Jets-Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will be compared to the 2.5-point spread to determine whether contracts predicting the Jets winning by more than 2.5 points will pay out at 100, or whether those predicting they will not win by that margin will settle at 0. The result will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jets or the Titans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment and large-volume trades from informed individuals can also contribute to price fluctuations before Sep 13, 2026.