TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between the NY Jets and the TEN Titans. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will lead after the first quarter and by how much.
These markets assess various point spread thresholds for the first quarter of the NY Jets vs TEN Titans football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the Titans or Jets win the first quarter by exceeding specific point margins, ranging from narrow victories (over 1.5 points) to dominant leads (over 10.5 points). All outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the first quarter of play, with no consideration given to the full game result. The markets cover both teams' potential victories across multiple incremental spread levels, allowing for nuanced predictions of the quarter's competitive balance.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with—but sometimes diverging from—sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s a good practice to compare both to get a broader perspective on the likely result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. This allows for a fluid and responsive price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 1st quarter spread of the Jets-Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point differential established by official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts purchased, and to 0 for contracts predicting an outcome that does not occur. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jets or the Titans would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.