TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Detroit Lions will win their game against the New York Jets by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 86.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final point differential in the NY Jets vs DET Lions Pro Football game, as reported if the Detroit Lions win by more than 27.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 27, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the NY Jets vs DET Lions Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the stated margin. For instance, markets for 'DET Lions wins by over X points' resolve positively if Detroit wins by more than the specified X points, while markets for 'NY Jets wins by over X points' resolve positively if New York wins by more than the specified X points. The governing body's official score determines resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with those found at sportsbooks. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and incentives among participants. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs without that built-in cost. It's common to see this market offer slightly different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available and influences traders' perspectives on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Jets-Lions game. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by the collective intelligence and information of all participants trading in this market, making it a dynamic reflection of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Jets-Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authorities. The market will then determine payouts based on whether the actual spread fell on the 'Jets favored' or 'Lions favored' side, as defined by the contract purchased. The final score will be the determining factor in settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jets or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through polls and media coverage can all contribute to shifts in the market price as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.