TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the final quarter of a football game between two teams. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of the specified football game, with the explicit exclusion of any points scored in overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. The markets are independent of each other, each focusing on a different point total benchmark to evaluate the game's final quarter performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts, expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. It's a good exercise to compare the two to see where the discrepancies lie.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders place bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations for the Jets-Lions game's final quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Jets-Lions game will be tallied from official game statistics. The market will then settle based on whether that total exceeds or falls below the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. It's important to note that the official game results are the sole determinant of the market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jets or the Lions would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. In-game events during the first three quarters, such as a dominant performance by one team or unexpected turnovers, will undoubtedly influence trading activity and shift expectations for the 4th quarter point total. Keep an eye on these developments as they unfold.