TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Washington Commanders will defeat the New York Giants in their upcoming professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Washington a 54.0% probability of winning, while New York has a 46.0% probability. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the NY Giants vs WAS Commanders game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the result of the NY Giants vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If Washington wins, the Washington market resolves to Yes; if New York G wins, the New York G market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, both markets resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules ensure the market accounts for typical scheduling uncertainties while maintaining clarity on resolution conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by actual traders, tends to reflect a more pure assessment of probabilities, though discrepancies can occur. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, differing risk appetites among bettors, and the influence of public perception. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – indicates how readily the price might move in response to new information or trading activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Giants-Commanders game, as officially recorded. The platform will verify the result against widely accepted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Major news regarding player injuries to key players on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news related to team strategy, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through polls or media coverage could move the market. As the game approaches, the volume will likely increase, and the market will become more sensitive to new information.