TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential specifically within the third quarter of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to different threshold point spreads that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to resolve as a win for that outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential occurring exclusively in the third quarter of the specified NY Giants vs LA Rams game scheduled for September 21, 2026. Each market defines a specific point spread threshold that must be surpassed by either team for resolution. If the LA Rams win the third quarter by more than the threshold listed in the market title (e.g., over 10.5 points), that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the NY Giants win the third quarter by more than the threshold listed (e.g., over 10.5 points), that corresponding market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these determinations, and all markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately without influence from other markets or full-game results.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of an event. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and sentiment emerge. It’s common to see divergences between the two, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to late-breaking news or shifts in public opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Giants-Rams 3rd quarter spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and can be interpreted as the market's estimated probability of the spread falling within a certain range. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Giants-Rams game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Giants or the Rams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages.