TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of an upcoming NFL game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to resolve positively. Only points scored in the specified quarter count toward the result.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by the New York Giants and Los Angeles Rams during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 21, 2026. Each market features a unique numerical threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points—which the total second-quarter points must exceed for the market to resolve to 'Yes.' If the combined score does not surpass the specified threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' Crucially, only points scored during the second quarter of play are considered; any points from other quarters are excluded from evaluation. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates separately, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to participate and express their belief about the outcome. As more information becomes available – like injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the prediction market price tends to converge with sportsbook odds, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of the event occurring. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as game day approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second quarter between the NY Giants and the LA Rams will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceed the threshold established by the market. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Giants or the Rams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, as kickoff approaches and more public analysis becomes available, the price will likely become more volatile, reflecting the increasing certainty surrounding the potential total points scored in the 2nd quarter.