TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the LA Rams will win the second half of the NY Giants vs LA Rams game by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 70.0% probability to the LA Rams winning the 2nd half by over 2.5 points, with resolution determined by the final point differential – including overtime – of the Sep 21, 2026 game as defined by official game results. Keep an eye on the game’s final score on September 22, 2026, as that is the estimated resolution date for this market and will determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the specified NY Giants vs LA Rams Pro Football game scheduled for September 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold: if the LA Rams win the second half by more than a designated point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 20.5 points), the respective 'Yes' outcome for that market is triggered. Conversely, if the NY Giants win the second half by more than a designated margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding 'Yes' outcome for that market resolves. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these thresholds; first-half performance is irrelevant. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately, and no market resolution affects another. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by actual money being wagered by a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentive structures of each venue. This can present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Giants-Rams second half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as their profits depend on the market’s final settlement price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as game day approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual second-half spread of the NY Giants versus LA Rams game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference between the two teams at the end of the second half will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available game data.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Giants or the Rams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side of the market – could shift the odds. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also influence traders’ expectations and move this market.