TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the LA Rams will win the first quarter of their game against the NY Giants by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to the Rams winning the first quarter by that margin. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the NY Giants vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the first quarter’s final score and is estimated to be settled by September 22, 2026.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the New York Giants and Los Angeles Rams during the first quarter of their game scheduled for September 21, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first quarter by more than the designated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—outlined in each individual market rule. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, each with its own threshold for resolution. The markets cover various thresholds of victory for both teams, allowing for varied predictions of the extent of dominance in the opening quarter. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on the outcome, and their collective actions set the market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by factors like news, injuries, and overall sentiment surrounding the Giants and Rams.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point spread as determined by the game’s official statistics. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. The final price will reflect the actual outcome of the first quarter of the game between the Giants and the Rams.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Giants or the Rams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, even without external news.