TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks which team—the New York Giants or the Los Angeles Rams—will be winning at halftime of their upcoming NFL game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 92.0% probability to Los Angeles winning the first half, with New York at 5.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half of the NY Giants vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, as determined by official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market closes upon the conclusion of the first half on September 22, 2026, and that will be the determining factor for resolution.
If Los Angeles R wins the 1st Half of the NY Giants vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York G wins the 1st Half of the NY Giants vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the NY Giants vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one team will perform better, the price will shift accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market digests information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges toward what the collective believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people want to buy a contract (believing an outcome is likely), the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is winning at the end of the first half of the Giants-Rams game. The result will be based on the official game statistics and will be sourced from widely recognized sports news outlets and official league data. The final score at halftime will be the determining factor for settlement, and traders will be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Giants or the Rams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking news about team strategies or starting lineups could shift market sentiment. Public perception and betting trends from traditional sportsbooks can also indirectly influence trading on Kalshi.