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24H VOL:

$104,871,197

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,592,701,755

469,827

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2,899

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Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
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Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?

Aug 5, 2026, 7:56 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 6:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$24,685
Volume 24h:
$836
849%
Liquidity:
$34,989
4%
Open interest:
$5,860N/A

$5.00-$5.50T

 - Polymarket

$5.00-$5.50T - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?

28%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 33¢ buys you 303 shares | Odds: 28% Total Payout: $303 | Net Profit: $203 Multiplier: 3.03x | ROI: 203% APY not meaningful 77 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$5.00-$5.50T

Trade
28%
Yes 33¢No 77¢
10¢
$6,531
$4,292
13%
14%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
polymarket

$5.50-$6.00T

26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$8,330
$5,333
0%
15%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
polymarket

$6.00-$6.50T

16%
5%
Yes 20¢No 89¢
9¢
$8,204
$4,079
6%
27%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
polymarket

$4.50-$5.00T

12%
1%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
$2,215
$1,733
3%
13%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
polymarket

$6.50T+

10%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
$5,450
$3,862
0%
30%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
polymarket

<$4.00T

6%
3%
Yes 9.5¢No 97.7¢
7.2¢
$2,218
$4,074
1%
14%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
polymarket

$4.00-$4.50T

4%
Yes 6.3¢No 99¢
5.3¢
$2,039
$1,312
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $794 for the Nvidia market cap market. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around Nvidia’s potential market capitalization by the end of 2026, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and trading activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s current odds reflect a collective trader view that can diverge significantly. While analysts may offer detailed bull or bear cases based on earnings and product cycles, the market price incorporates broader factors including investor sentiment and macroeconomic trends, often leading to different expectations.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market capitalization of Nvidia as of that date will determine which trading position was correct, closing all open contracts and settling payouts for participants.

Key events such as Nvidia’s upcoming earnings reports, product launches, geopolitical developments affecting tech spending, and broader market volatility can all shift this market. Any surprise announcements — whether positive like a major AI partnership or negative like regulatory scrutiny — are likely to cause rapid price changes as traders reassess probabilities.