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NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Sep 04 (Week 36)
kalshi

NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Sep 04 (Week 36)

Jul 24, 2026, 4:40 PM EST - Sep 4, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$28,110
Volume 24h:
$4,530
24%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$21,404
27%

Above $2.50

 - Kalshi

Above $2.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 4, 2026

Time left: 08d:14h:52m

Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $2.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 8 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,715
141%
141%
$1,713
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $3.00

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$1,696
0%
0%
$1,351
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $1.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,077
762%
4,208%
$1,072
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $2.00

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,067
53,250%
0%
$1,067
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $3.50

Trade
96%
1%
Yes 98¢No 8¢
6¢
N/A
$8,280
13%
4,328%
$8,168
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $4.00

Trade
83%
Yes 73¢No 37¢
10¢
N/A
$1,600
0%
82%
$1,208
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $4.50

Trade
46%
Yes 42¢No 68¢
10¢
N/A
$1,150
0%
4%
$645
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $5.00

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 18¢No 89¢
7¢
N/A
$1,285
3%
61%
$617
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $6.00

Trade
4%
Yes 6¢No 99¢
5¢
N/A
$3,884
0%
139%
$2,201
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $5.50

Trade
4%
3%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$1,466
5%
33%
$756
1w 1d 14h
active
kalshi

Above $6.50

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$4,890
9%
25%
$2,606
1w 1d 14h
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets tracks potential future pricing levels for NVIDIA H200 computing power. Each outcome represents a different price threshold that may be reached or exceeded at a specific future date and time. The markets collectively gauge expectations around the cost dynamics of high-performance computing resources.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour value reported by Ornn at 4 PM ET on September 4, 2026. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact timestamp, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data source will not affect outcomes. All valuations use the USD iteration of the index and are rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific price threshold (ranging from $1.50 to $6.50), and resolves to 'Yes' only if the reported value exceeds that exact threshold at the specified resolution time.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the NVIDIA H200 hourly price market, along with 24-hour volume of $4,530. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and market activity specifically for this financial event, updated continuously throughout the trading period. The display highlights how participants on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the market's expiration.

Currently, odds from this market reflect a different perspective than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize broader market trends or company performance metrics, traders in this market are pricing in more immediate, hour-by-hour expectations for the NVIDIA H200 price. The difference in outlook can highlight areas of consensus or divergence in the market’s near-term expectations.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through their bids and offers, reflecting the anticipated hourly price of NVIDIA H200 on Sep 4, 2026. The current top outcome shows a 99.0% probability assigned by market participants. Volume of $28,110 indicates the level of interest and liquidity, with price movements driven by new information, trading patterns, and shifts in market expectations.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price used for settlement will be drawn from authoritative, publicly available sources at the specified resolution time, ensuring an objective and transparent process.

Several signals could shift expectations in this market before resolution. Key catalysts include unexpected earnings reports, major product announcements from NVIDIA, shifts in cryptocurrency markets that influence GPU demand, regulatory updates affecting AI hardware, and broader macroeconomic indicators impacting tech stock valuations. Each of these could prompt rapid reassessments by traders.