TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.9b
24H VOL:
$88,067,947
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,161,040,920
337,797
Markets across
33,281
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,251
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above $0.50
- Kalshi
Above $0.50 - Kalshi
100%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Aug 26
Aug 27
Vol.
$1k
·
Resolves Sep 4, 2026
Time left: 08d:07h:57m
$
This tracks the hourly cost of renting an NVIDIA A100 computing unit on a specific date, helping gauge future cloud computing expenses. The focus is on predicting whether pricing will exceed various thresholds, reflecting potential shifts in demand or supply dynamics for advanced AI hardware.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA A100 compute price per hour at 4 PM ET on September 4, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available price before the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data are ignored, and all prices are considered in USD, rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold; if the reported price exceeds the threshold (e.g., $0.30, $0.40, etc.), the respective market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market expectations. While analysts may issue target prices or trend assessments based on models and historical data, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust their positions based on real-time information, news, and sentiment. This can lead to divergence, especially around key announcements or shifts in supply-demand dynamics for A100 hardware.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their desired prices. The displayed odds represent the aggregated expectation of all participants, updating instantly with each trade. Market depth and liquidity influence how tightly priced the outcomes are, with volume currently at $4,512 over the last 24 hours and $18,705 in total trading volume.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final hourly price will be determined by authoritative financial data sources tracking NVIDIA A100 pricing on major cloud platforms or direct provider APIs at the exact hour specified. No manual intervention or platform-specific rules affect this process beyond standard verification procedures.