TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of CZ tweets Sep 7th - Sep 14th 2026
predict

How many tweets will CZ post?

Volume:
$4,455

6-10

 - Predict

6-10 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

6-10

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$4,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

0-5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

11-15

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

16-20

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

21-25

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

26-30

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

31-35

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

36-40

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

41+

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Sep 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Sep 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the CZ tweet count market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for the total number of tweets posted by Changpeng Zhao (CZ) between September 7th and September 14th, 2026. You’ll find a price history chart displaying how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded on this market is $4,455. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see which outcomes are currently favored by traders.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as comprehensive predictions for CZ’s tweeting activity during that timeframe are not widely available. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse information and participant viewpoints, potentially offering a different perspective than individual expert opinions. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, factoring in potential catalysts like major crypto news, regulatory announcements, or significant events within the Binance ecosystem, which analysts might also consider when forming their expectations.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible tweet counts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the latest market sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various tweet count scenarios.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets posted by CZ during the specified period is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be sourced from a publicly accessible record of his Twitter (or X) activity. The market will then settle to reflect the outcome that most closely matches the actual number of tweets. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Binance, regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency, or any legal proceedings involving CZ could all influence his social media activity. Unexpected shifts in the broader crypto market sentiment, or significant events within the Web3 space, might also prompt him to tweet more or less frequently. Any personal announcements or changes in his role at Binance would likely be a key catalyst. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.