TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 2:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between NSÍ Runavík and Ħamrun Spartans FC, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NSÍ Runavík" if NSÍ Runavík score more goals than Ħamrun Spartans FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if NSÍ Runavík and Ħamrun Spartans FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ħamrun Spartans FC" if Ħamrun Spartans FC score more goals than NSÍ Runavík in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between NSÍ Runavík and Ħamrun Spartans FC, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NSÍ Runavík" if NSÍ Runavík score more goals than Ħamrun Spartans FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if NSÍ Runavík and Ħamrun Spartans FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ħamrun Spartans FC" if Ħamrun Spartans FC score more goals than NSÍ Runavík in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants with real money at stake, which can reveal insights that differ from bookmaker pricing. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where consensus may be shifting ahead of kickoff.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current leading outcome reflects the probability that traders are assigning to that result. As new information emerges—team news, injury updates, or betting patterns—participants adjust their positions, moving the price in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and conviction; tighter spreads suggest high confidence and active trading.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone. Resolution happens after the final whistle and official confirmation of the score, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Several catalysts can shift this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers repricing, especially if key players are unavailable. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary can sway trader sentiment. Once the first half concludes, the scoreline and momentum become major factors; a team trailing may be priced differently than one leading. Late substitutions, tactical adjustments, and in-match injuries during the first half all feed into how traders assess second-half probabilities. Betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one side can also signal shifting conviction.