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NRL: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights?

Volume:
$7,415

Newcastle Knights

 - Kalshi

Newcastle Knights - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 7:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Newcastle Knights

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,340
N/A
N/A
$3,154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

South Sydney Rabbitohs

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,734
N/A
N/A
$1,425
Settled
No
polymarket

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Newcastle Knights

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a National Rugby League (NRL) match between the South Sydney Rabbitohs and the Newcastle Knights, scheduled for September 11, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the match, with potential considerations for draws or cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines resolution as simply a winner existing, while Polymarket specifies the winning team and handles draws with a 50-50 split.Hero tip: Be aware that a draw will be resolved differently on each platform. Polymarket offers a more specific bet on the winning team.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (South Sydney or Newcastle) or splits 50-50 on a draw. "This market will resolve to "South Sydney Rabbitohs" if South Sydney Rabbitohs wins the match. It will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins, without specifying which team. "If South Sydney Rabbitohs is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes. If Newcastle Knights is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and Newcastle Knights, scheduled for September 11 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the professional National Rugby League match between the South Sydney Rabbitohs and the Newcastle Knights, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026. If either team wins the match—regardless of when it is ultimately played—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this two-week window, all markets resolve to a fair price for each team, ensuring equitable treatment under these conditions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets aggregate the views of many individual traders, potentially incorporating unique insights. This can lead to differences in probabilities, particularly as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market can quickly adjust to news regarding player injuries or changes in team strategy.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the South Sydney Rabbitohs or the Newcastle Knights would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also lead to shifts in probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market up until resolution.