TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NRL: Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders?

Volume:
$17,948

Penrith Panthers

 - Kalshi

Penrith Panthers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 5:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penrith Panthers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,932
N/A
N/A
$9,497
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Penrith Panthers vs. Canberra Raiders

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Canberra Raiders

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,637
N/A
N/A
$5,344
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,049
N/A
N/A
$1,049
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the National Rugby League (NRL) match between Penrith Panthers and Canberra Raiders scheduled for August 1, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the official match result, including any extra time or golden point periods if applicable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the official NRL result for the match on August 1, 2026, with specific resolution rules for wins and draws/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official NRL results

Core resolution logic:

  • A win by Penrith Panthers resolves the Penrith Panthers market to the winning outcome
  • A win by Canberra Raiders resolves the Canberra Raiders market to the winning outcome
  • A draw or cancellation resolves according to each platform's specific rules (Kalshi resolves to Yes for all outcomes, Polymarket resolves 50-50 for draws or cancellations)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw: Kalshi resolves to Yes for all outcomes; Polymarket resolves 50-50
  • Cancellation: Kalshi resolves to Yes for all outcomes; Polymarket resolves 50-50 if no make-up match is played
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official NRL result is announced, including any extra time or golden point periodsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between Penrith Panthers and Canberra Raiders, scheduled for August 1 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the professional National Rugby League match between Penrith Panthers and Canberra Raiders originally scheduled for August 1, 2026, at 3:30 AM EDT. If the match is postponed or delayed, it remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each outcome in accordance with the rules. The market has three possible outcomes: Penrith Panthers win, Canberra Raiders win, or a tie.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NRL Panthers vs Raiders matchup aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $17,948, and 24-hour volume of $17,567 across venues. This gives you a live snapshot of market sentiment toward this market, letting you compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users evaluate the contest.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform has its own user base, liquidity conditions, and trading dynamics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting from fans of a particular team, skewing its implied probability. Additionally, differences in market design or fee structures can influence how traders place bets, leading to divergent views on this market across the two platforms.

Injuries to key players, changes in team form, weather conditions, or even shifts in betting momentum can all affect this market before it closes. Major news — such as a star player being ruled out — may cause rapid repricing, while steady betting trends can gradually adjust the odds. Keep an eye on team announcements and live game dynamics as they emerge, since any of these can shift this market significantly.