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400,720

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2,633

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5

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NRL: North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders?

Volume:
$3,590

Canberra Raiders

 - Kalshi

Canberra Raiders - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 5:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Canberra Raiders

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,874
N/A
N/A
$1,845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

North Queensland Cowboys

View
0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
$687
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
$609
Settled
No
polymarket

North Queensland Cowboys vs. Canberra Raiders

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Canberra Raiders scheduled for September 5, 2026. The markets resolve based on the official match result, including outcomes in extra time or golden point periods. Tie and canceled matches have specific resolution rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses a three-outcome binary market while Kalshi uses a single Yes/No market that resolves Yes for any non-no-result scenarioHero tip: Do not arbitrage between these markets. Polymarket requires precise outcome prediction (which team wins or draw). Kalshi simply pays out for any match completion regardless of winner. Choose the platform that matches your prediction style.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market resolving to Cowboys, Raiders, or 50-50 for draws/cancellations based on official NRL results
  • Kalshi: Single Yes/No market that resolves Yes if Cowboys win, Raiders win, or match ends in a tie
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Canberra Raiders, scheduled for September 5 2026.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes for the specified outcome (team win or tie) if that result occurs in the match as scheduled. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, markets resolve to a fair price for each outcome in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NRL Cowboys vs Raiders match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $3,590 and 24-hour volume of $3,557, plus any notable shifts in sentiment. By tracking this market across venues, users can see how the consensus evolves as the game approaches. The view combines inputs from all participating platforms to give a unified snapshot of market expectations for the NRL Cowboys vs Raiders match.