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NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles?

Volume:
$8,789

Manly Sea Eagles

 - Kalshi

Manly Sea Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manly Sea Eagles

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
$1,540
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Sea Eagles

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Newcastle Knights

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,177
N/A
N/A
$2,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles scheduled for August 22, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the official match result, including any extra time or golden point periods, with specific rules for draws and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and multi-outcome Yes/No market (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not assume equivalent payouts between platforms. Polymarket requires explicit 50/50 resolution for draws/cancellations while Kalshi automatically resolves Yes. Monitor official NRL result sources for final confirmation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary market resolving to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for draws or cancellations: 'If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50'
  • Kalshi: Multi-outcome Yes/No market resolving Yes for any result (winner or tie): 'If tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation handling present
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for August 22 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles professional National Rugby League match originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each outcome in accordance with the rules. The market has three possible outcomes: Newcastle Knights win, Manly Sea Eagles win, or a tie.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NRL Knights vs Sea Eagles match market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes in this match. It tracks the consensus view across venues, highlighting the top outcome and overall volume of $8,789. By following this short_topic, users can see how market sentiment shifts as the game approaches and compare it with broader betting trends.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can vary because each platform has its own user base, liquidity conditions, and trading dynamics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a particular team, while the other could reflect international or sharper traders. Additionally, differences in available liquidity of $8,618 and market design can amplify small shifts into larger price gaps between the two sites.