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NRL: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers?

Volume:
$10,979

New Zealand Warriors

 - Kalshi

New Zealand Warriors - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 6:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand Warriors

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,485
N/A
N/A
$4,326
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Zealand Warriors vs. Penrith Panthers

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penrith Panthers

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,884
N/A
N/A
$1,753
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$727
N/A
N/A
$716
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and Penrith Panthers scheduled for August 7, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the official match result, including any extra time or golden point periods if applicable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and multi-outcome Yes/No market (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not arbitrage between these markets as they resolve differently. Polymarket pays out team-specific outcomes while Kalshi pays Yes for any match completion regardless of winner. Trade based on your confidence in specific outcomes rather than expecting consistent cross-platform payouts.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team names or 50-50 for draws/cancellations: "This market will resolve to 'New Zealand Warriors' if New Zealand Warriors wins... If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50... If the match is canceled entirely... this market will resolve 50-50"
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes for any match outcome: "If New Zealand Warriors is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Penrith Panthers is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and Penrith Panthers, scheduled for August 7 2026.

Kalshi

If New Zealand Warriors is the winner in the New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers professional National Rugby League match originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penrith Panthers is the winner in the New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers professional National Rugby League match originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If tie is the result in the New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers professional National Rugby League match originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.