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NRL: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights?

Volume:
$23,492

Newcastle Knights

 - Kalshi

Newcastle Knights - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 4:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Newcastle Knights

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,782
N/A
N/A
$9,278
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Zealand Warriors

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,495
N/A
N/A
$5,332
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a National Rugby League (NRL) match between the New Zealand Warriors and the Newcastle Knights, scheduled for September 20, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the match, with potential for a 50-50 split in the event of a draw or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies resolution to the winning team directly, and handles draws.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for clearer resolution criteria, particularly regarding draws. Be cautious of Kalshi's ambiguous 'Yes' resolution for either winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team ('New Zealand Warriors' or 'Newcastle Knights'). A draw results in a 50-50 split. "This market will resolve to "New Zealand Warriors" if New Zealand Warriors wins the match. It will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. The logic is ambiguous as it doesn't specify *how* the 'Yes' is assigned. "If New Zealand Warriors is the winner...or Newcastle Knights is the winner, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights, scheduled for September 20 2026.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the professional National Rugby League match between New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights originally scheduled for September 20, 2026. If either team wins the match as it occurs—whether on the original date or following a postponement within two weeks—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled beyond the two-week window, the market resolves to a fair price based on the circumstances, ensuring alignment with real-world outcomes while accounting for scheduling uncertainties inherent in live sports events.