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NRL: New Zealand Warriors vs Manly Sea Eagles
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of New Zealand Warriors vs Manly Sea Eagles?

Volume:
$5,367

New Zealand Warriors

 - Kalshi

New Zealand Warriors - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand Warriors

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,317
N/A
N/A
$2,871
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Zealand Warriors vs. Manly Sea Eagles

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manly Sea Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,350
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$557
N/A
N/A
$480
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the NRL rugby match between New Zealand Warriors and Manly Sea Eagles scheduled for September 5, 2026. The markets resolve based on the official match result, including outcomes in extra time or golden point periods, with specific rules for draws and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses outcome-specific binaries while Kalshi collapses all outcomes to a single 'Yes' resolutionHero tip: Do not hedge positions across these platforms. Polymarket allows outcome-specific trading; Kalshi only offers exposure to match occurrence. Treat them as separate instruments.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-way resolution: Warriors win, Manly win, or 50-50 for draws/cancellations. "Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Single outcome market: Resolves to Yes if Warriors win, Manly win, OR match ends in a tie. "If New Zealand Warriors is the winner... resolves to Yes. If Manly Sea Eagles is the winner... resolves to Yes. If tie is the result... resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for September 5 2026.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes for the specified outcome (team win or tie) if that result occurs in the match as scheduled. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, markets resolve to a fair price for each outcome in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NRL Warriors vs Sea Eagles match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the outcome across venues. It tracks total volume of $5,367 and recent 24-hour volume of $3,770, offering a consensus view of market sentiment toward this market. The display updates continuously, reflecting shifts in trader confidence as the event approaches.