TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NRL: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins?

Volume:
$25,209

Dolphins

 - Kalshi

Dolphins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 4:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dolphins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,145
N/A
N/A
$8,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Zealand Warriors

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,024
N/A
N/A
$7,334
Settled
No
polymarket

New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a National Rugby League (NRL) match between the New Zealand Warriors and the Dolphins, scheduled for September 12, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the match, with potential considerations for draws or cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines resolution for a draw (50-50 split), while Kalshi's logic is silent on this outcome, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Be aware that Kalshi doesn't specify how a draw is handled. Polymarket's 50-50 draw resolution provides more clarity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'New Zealand Warriors' if they win, 'Dolphins' if they win, and 50-50 in the event of a draw. Resolution is based on official NRL results. "This market will resolve to "New Zealand Warriors" if New Zealand Warriors wins the match. It will resolve to "Dolphins" if Dolphins wins the match. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the Warriors or Dolphins win. No mention of draws or how they are handled. "If New Zealand Warriors is the winner...or Dolphins is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and Dolphins, scheduled for September 12 2026.

Kalshi

This market resolves based on the winner of the New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins professional National Rugby League match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, at 2:05 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it is played within two weeks of the original date. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-week window, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market’s odds are driven by the collective predictions of traders who have a financial incentive to be accurate. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, and potentially, more accurate predictions, as the wisdom of the crowd is leveraged. The 24-hour volume for this market is $24,481.