TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NRL: Manly Sea Eagles vs St. George Illawarra Dragons
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Manly Sea Eagles vs St. George Illawarra Dragons?

Volume:
$5,341

Manly Sea Eagles vs. St. George Illawarra Dragons

 - Polymarket

Manly Sea Eagles vs. St. George Illawarra Dragons - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 10:51 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Manly Sea Eagles vs. St. George Illawarra Dragons

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manly Sea Eagles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,901
N/A
N/A
$1,746
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. George Illawarra Dragons

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
$980
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
$412
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the NRL match between Manly Sea Eagles and St. George Illawarra Dragons scheduled for August 28, 2026. The markets resolve based on the official match result, including outcomes in extra time or golden point periods. Tie and cancellation scenarios have specific resolution rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence between binary outcome resolution (Polymarket) and multi-outcome resolution (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not arbitrage between these markets. Kalshi resolves Yes for any completed match regardless of winner, while Polymarket requires specific winner selection with 50-50 for ties/cancellations

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary resolution: Manly win = Manly, Dragons win = Dragons, Draw/Cancellation = 50-50 split. 'If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50'
  • Kalshi: Multi-outcome resolution: Yes for any match completion scenario. 'If Manly Sea Eagles is the winner... resolves to Yes. If St. George Illawarra Dragons is the winner... resolves to Yes. If tie is the result... resolves to Yes'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between Manly Sea Eagles and St. George Illawarra Dragons, scheduled for August 28 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Manly Sea Eagles vs St. George Illawarra Dragons professional National Rugby League match originally scheduled for August 28, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT. If Manly Sea Eagles wins, that market resolves to Yes; if St. George Illawarra Dragons wins, its market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed, all markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled match concludes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-week window, all markets will resolve to a fair price for each outcome in accordance with the defined procedures. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Manly vs Dragons matchup market aggregates data from multiple prediction platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends. It tracks how traders across venues price the contest, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. You can see total volume of $5,341 and 24-hour volume of $5,251, plus the leading outcome as voted by collective bets. This gives a clear snapshot of where the market stands for this rugby league clash.

Injuries, weather updates, and shifting team form can all shift this market. Key moments like captain announcements, coaching strategies, or recent head-to-head performance may sway trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute lineup changes or venue conditions could cause rapid price swings, especially on platforms with lower volume. Keep an eye on news feeds and training reports for potential catalysts.