TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NRL: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights?

Volume:
$26,832

Newcastle Knights

 - Kalshi

Newcastle Knights - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Newcastle Knights

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,429
N/A
N/A
$11,656
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Canberra Raiders

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,001
N/A
N/A
$3,879
Settled
No
polymarket

Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$910
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the National Rugby League (NRL) match between Canberra Raiders and Newcastle Knights scheduled for August 9, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the official match result, including outcomes in extra time or golden point periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch - Polymarket uses a binary outcome market while Kalshi uses a Yes/No market that resolves Yes for any outcomeHero tip: Traders should be cautious as these markets are not directly comparable. Polymarket offers a true binary outcome, while Kalshi's market pays out Yes regardless of the specific winner or a tie.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Canberra Raiders if they win, Newcastle Knights if they win, and 50-50 for draws or cancellations. "If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Canberra Raiders win, Newcastle Knights win, or the match ends in a tie. "If Canberra Raiders is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Newcastle Knights is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between Canberra Raiders and Newcastle Knights, scheduled for August 9 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the designated professional National Rugby League match. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this timeframe, the market resolves to a fair price for each outcome in accordance with the rules. A tie market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a tie.